The good news is...how often do the weather experts actually get it right? Best bet is to prepare for the worst, hope for the best and be ready for whatever happens.
Several years back Hurricane Rita was supposed to devastate Houston. People (mostly newcomers to the coast) panicked based on the models and all headed out of town at once. The result included massive traffic jams, stalled cars, hundreds of wrecks that stranded people on the highways for the duration of the storm, and a bus fire that killed more than a dozen disabled senior citizens.
The storm went way to east into Louisiana. I stayed put and we didn't even get a drizzle or wind over 15 mph.