resale prices on busses are coming down fast.. many people are buying partial conversions.. the Facebook groups are full with busses that are reducing prices.. and . or have partial conversions started.. they are staying listed for longer periods.. getting 8 grand for a 2010 vision is a pipe dream now.. couple years ago not so much.. it wouldve sold pretty readily at close to that...
alot of people jumped in thje bandwagon a few years ago and have realized just how much work it takes to do a build nicely and how much it takes to maintain a bus (and fuel to drive it)..
this is also true of the RV market in general.. while hotel room market isnt what it was before covid.. Leisure travel room nights are now way above 2019 levels while business travel nights are below (business travel is slowly returning but nit as fast).. this says people are not RVing in general as much as they were in 2020-2022..
if you are going to sell a bus id get it done rather soon... if you are looking to buy a bus just hang loose and wait for the right deal.. they are coming along..
If you really study the market, what you're saying is NOT TRUE in some cases. I do agree with you IN GENERAL, there's many buses that been there for a bit, and have had multiple price drops. A couple of them I thought, Ohh that'll be gone by the end of today now, but yet 4 days later, there it still sits. And many of the started conversion are NOT selling either. It appears word has got out and people are getting better educated. If you have a conversion started and the floor and subfloor isn't done right like people are learning, or the conversion was started without a full demo and spray foam, people are passing on those. What I see that's correct in what you're saying is, the long buses with no side doors are NOT selling. Like the 12,13 and 14 window buses. I've been saying it for months, the shorter the bus the more money it sells for. 5, 6 and 7 windows buses are still selling very well. I also say, you can't compare prices to ASK price. There's many many 2012ish full size Visions in the 140,000-200,000 mile range and they're asking $12,000-$14,000 for them. They're not going to get near that and those are going to sit there and rot til they get right on the price. Because what else I see, the later model the bus is, the better the price needs to be. People are getting educated about emissions and learning which emissions are OK to have in what model engies, and which emissions to avoid all together at any cost, just like no good deal on a rust bus, no good deal on a bus that requires DEF. Point being, you're correct if you look at the market as a whole, but if you have the right buses, you're going to be OK.
I've also noticed some of the social media bus sales pages, if you look, the Admins and Moderators are the bus seller dealers. I've been muted on at least a couple pages and that's when I figured that out. They're selling a Maxxforce Bus for $12K because it's only a 90,000 mile bus. Someone asks a question and shows interest, I'm not afraid to stop someone from having broken dreams, selling their house, buy that bus, put $30K into and their first trip out they have a $9000 repair or a $15-$20K engine install, just to have the same problem again in about 8-10 years becasue they bought a junk low mileage bus. If I can stop someone from making that mistake, I'll do it in a heartbeat, just like I would for a VT365 bus or a 2007 and later C7 with the ARD head, or a cutaway bus with Powerstoke 6.0 or 6.4. But, those dealers are trying to control the market on social media and their greed is going to catch up with them.
Also, I've noticed what you're saying to be true in just the last couple months. 3 months ago, the good buses were still selling good from what I seen. If you think about the market, a bit like Real Estate, School was out in early to Mid May for a lot of the country. Many districts dump their fleet at the end of the school year in anticipation for the arrival of the new fleet going to hit the ground by August when school starts back up, or new buses that have been sitting getting lettered and since Jan or Feb but getting put into service at the new school year. This creates a saturated market situation especially on the long buses since they're much more common but less sought after. This is exactly why I've decided I'll go for a long bus. I'll put the extra length to good use I promise. I just have an issue paying more for less, like a shortbed pick up truck. You can get a nice long bed pick up for $3000 but people will pay $5000 for a clapped out high mileage short bed pick up. It's the exact same in the bus market IMO. But those prices will come down on those long buses, and whose going to buy them is all the guys making toy haulers, cutting out the back half or third of the bus, dovetailing and adding ramps for race buggies and UTV's.