gs1949
Senior Member
I've read both the AFA piece and the Townhall article, and anytime I see an article that contains plenty of unsourced quotes I have at least a little trouble taking that article seriously.
But reading the Townhall piece, which the AFA article seems to be based on, I see a far more serious problem. I'm talking about the way they reject Prof. Fergusson's model for predicting coronavirus fatalities because that model did not work for predicting the fatalities from "mad cow disease".
I think that's pretty ridiculous. Those are 2 very different diseases, spread in 2 very different ways, and more importantly scientists had no way of accurately gauging how many of the prions that cause "mad cow disease" were actually getting into the food supply. So to be safe they assumed there were a lot of prions entering the food supply.
As it turns out there weren't a lot, and so fatality predictions were way high. And of course, those high predictions had the effect of making people eat less meat, except me because I raised my own vegetarian fed pigs in those days, which may have had the effect of keeping the fatalities down.
So I read both these articles without feeling the slightest urge to rush out and start hugging people because we've made it through the crisis. We have not made it through the crisis yet, and we should not allow ourselves be distracted by people who have a strong need to prove that Trump has done something right.
But reading the Townhall piece, which the AFA article seems to be based on, I see a far more serious problem. I'm talking about the way they reject Prof. Fergusson's model for predicting coronavirus fatalities because that model did not work for predicting the fatalities from "mad cow disease".
I think that's pretty ridiculous. Those are 2 very different diseases, spread in 2 very different ways, and more importantly scientists had no way of accurately gauging how many of the prions that cause "mad cow disease" were actually getting into the food supply. So to be safe they assumed there were a lot of prions entering the food supply.
As it turns out there weren't a lot, and so fatality predictions were way high. And of course, those high predictions had the effect of making people eat less meat, except me because I raised my own vegetarian fed pigs in those days, which may have had the effect of keeping the fatalities down.
So I read both these articles without feeling the slightest urge to rush out and start hugging people because we've made it through the crisis. We have not made it through the crisis yet, and we should not allow ourselves be distracted by people who have a strong need to prove that Trump has done something right.
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rolleyes:
