cadillackid
Senior Member
I don't watch mainstream media for my weather, they always over hype, but avoid talking about extreme damage.
I go straight to the radars and do my own analysis. Currently the strongest wind gusts are 70 mph at the center. That's small area but enough to cause some roof damage, tree fellings, and property damage but most houses with foundations will stand.
I'll be monitoring it closely daily and will report if it gets worse than that speed. 80 mph is when houses can start to come off of foundations and it's close to that currently.
The numbers in my pic represent live windspeeds.
I subscribe to accuweather's professional (we follow weather closely in my business of telecommunications)...
there is nothing accurate about saying surface winds are 70 at the center... the recon missions are reporting much much higher winds.. and the pressure gradient backs it up..
some weakening is likely by landfall as drier air from a canadian air mass working its way down is likely to weaken it before it makes landfall.. it will still be formidable but hopefully comes down a bit from its high before reaching land..
its trending like the eye will pass just south of tampa.. someplace around bradenton area and then the storm tracks east northeast from there.. at a pretty good speed..
even with weakening its still not something i would ride out if anywhere along the tampa bay area!